Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 169.278662 196.592585 228.280245 268.090787 317.239032 376.547832 4.544868e+02
2025-06-29 130.498295 163.660719 206.250097 266.159040 350.274304 467.410546 6.490171e+02
2025-07-06 109.672734 144.594193 192.574151 265.554581 378.023982 552.716251 8.624916e+02
2025-07-13 100.306003 137.983302 192.854394 282.335036 432.615111 691.956737 1.219403e+03
2025-07-20 94.261801 134.562797 196.357755 303.718061 499.215618 873.297339 1.750577e+03
2025-07-27 85.642944 125.700234 189.567785 306.119975 532.525397 1004.517217 2.258648e+03
2025-08-03 79.572908 119.835154 186.420150 313.773163 577.332494 1176.669947 2.996609e+03
2025-08-10 73.166779 112.513497 179.562646 312.924192 604.246873 1319.477724 3.778123e+03
2025-08-17 68.330629 107.192140 175.349828 316.205017 640.961569 1503.741814 4.896871e+03
2025-08-24 63.681391 101.634327 169.888692 315.794779 668.974032 1678.649598 6.209686e+03
2025-08-31 59.621244 96.667277 164.848707 315.277526 696.675262 1868.239960 7.894610e+03
2025-09-07 57.485020 94.931862 165.745040 327.964699 763.058589 2225.496645 1.125263e+04
2025-09-14 51.999656 86.814351 153.724113 310.523472 745.891600 2295.137508 1.310696e+04
2025-09-21 48.523763 82.207562 148.375923 308.328779 774.336951 2573.314224 1.769933e+04
2025-09-28 45.585700 78.319136 143.987211 307.602094 807.572074 2905.609116 2.458693e+04
2025-10-05 44.638329 78.199361 147.540050 327.890254 918.605371 3731.648658 4.490890e+04
2025-10-12 44.080879 78.780944 152.693633 353.838530 1064.145967 4972.961484 9.606009e+04
2025-10-19 41.985852 75.989129 149.835104 356.759735 1124.783251 5797.620416 1.647634e+05
2025-10-26 40.466890 74.250173 149.188517 366.076074 1217.656494 7050.006107 3.426769e+05
2025-11-02 38.482454 71.336868 145.385658 365.041973 1266.003572 8057.346778 6.599636e+05
2025-11-09 36.935487 69.233304 143.300440 369.039105 1341.343969 9536.675930 1.654518e+06
2025-11-16 35.285655 66.763992 140.022106 368.539171 1395.749464 10980.562442 4.630346e+06
2025-11-23 33.760574 64.449246 136.878097 367.908876 1450.690925 12655.034698 1.874407e+07